December 11, 2020

UFC 256 Ferguson vs Oliveira fight betting predictions & odds

Tony Ferguson and Charles Oliveira will square off in a co-main event at UFC 256 this weekend on December 12th. It is expected to be a very exciting fight and we can’t wait to see these two lightweight contenders compete inside the octagon.

If you are thinking to place some bets on Ferguson vs Oliveira bout and looking for ideas and betting tips for this upcoming fight, you came to the right place. Below, we will breakdown a matchup between Tony Ferguson and Charles Oliveira and share our betting predictions and favorite bets for this fight.

Let’s roll!

Ferguson vs Oliveira betting odds

Ferguson vs Oliveira betting odds

According to bookmakers, Tony Ferguson comes in as a -165 to -190 favorite for this UFC 256 matchup. The Brazilian Charles Oliveira is currently an underdog at +140 to +145.

Interesting enough, opening line was significantly closer and almost even – Tony Ferguson was at -130 and Charles Oliveira at +110.

Betting odds that Ferguson vs Oliveira fight will go to a decision are at +150 to +165. The odds that this fight will end within 3 rounds are approximately at -200 which means bookmakers believe that we will most likely see a KO/TKO finish or a submission.

Betting predictions and best bets for Ferguson vs Oliveira UFC 256 fight

  • Tony Ferguson will beat Charles Oliveira

One of our favorite bets for UFC 256 is Tony Ferguson getting a W in a co-main event against “Do Bronx” Charles Oliveira. Even if you didn’t get Tony at better odds (under -150) we still think there is a value to bet on “El Cucuy” as long as he is under -200.

Tony Ferguson is one of the best lightweights in the UFC and despite his loss to Justin Gaethje (which we correctly predicted) he is still one of the most dangerous guys in the division. A lot of people are underestimating “El Cucuy” simply judging by his performance at UFC 249. Tony is the type of guy didn’t do his best against Gaethje but it was still a very competitive fight. Ferguson did take a lot of damage but didn’t get knocked out. He also landed 136 significant strikes of his own and was pretty close to finishing Gaethje at the end of the 2nd round.

Charles Oliveira is a tough opponent and we don’t think it will be a walk in the park for “El Cucuy” but he is a more well-rounded fighter in this matchup.

The Brazilian is riding a very impressive 7-fight win streak (with 100% finish rate) with most recent wins over Nick Lentz, Jared Gordon, and Kevin Lee. Oliveira is red-hot as of late but let’s not forget that “Do Bronx”, a former featherweight, in the past suffered losses to Max Holloway, Anthony Pettis, Ricardo Lamas, and Paul Felder.

Ferguson is a better striker than Oliveira and we can expect him to put a lot of pressure on the Brazilian fighter. This is going to be a 3-round fight at a high pace. We can really see this fight playing out in a very similar fashion to most of Tony Ferguson’s fights. We are predicting to see a lot of action, a lot of exchanges, and unorthodox techniques. Oliveira will have some success on the feet but “El Cucuy” will end up finishing him one way or another. And there is a very good chance it might get bloody along the way…

Bloody faces of Tony Ferguson's opponents
  • Tony Ferguson to win inside distance – a riskier bet

If you are willing to take more risk, you might consider betting on Tony Ferguson to beat Charles Oliveira inside distance at +130 to +145 odds.

In the past, we’ve seen Tony finishing Anthony Pettis and Donald Cerrone via TKO in the 2nd round. He also has submission wins over Kevin Lee, Edson Barboza, Gleison Tibau.

It is not unlikely that Tony will seriously hurt Oliveira at some point in their fight and will lock a rear-naked choke or his favorite D’Arce choke (+420 odds for Ferguson to win via submission sound pretty tempting).

  • UFC 256 parlay bet – Ferguson + Figueiredo to win

Our favorite parlay this Saturday includes Tony Ferguson and Deiveson Figueiredo to win their respective UFC 256 bouts and a chance to basically double your money.

What are your betting predictions for Ferguson vs Oliveira and other UFC 256 fights? Do you think an underdog Oliveira will surprise us and will be able to defeat Tony Ferguson? Do you like any other prop bets for this fight?

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